Abstract
The oil industry carries enormous environmental risks and can cause consequences at different levels: water, air, soil, and, therefore, all living things on our planet. In this regard, forecasting the environmental consequences of oil spill accidents becomes relevant. Moreover, forecasting of oil spill accidents can be used to quickly assess the consequences of an accident that has already occurred, as well as to develop a plan of operational measures to eliminate possible accidents, facilities under construction, associated with the transportation, storage or processing of petroleum products. Consequently, the aim of this paper is to present a knowledge-based approach and its implementing system for forecasting the consequences of an accidental oil spills on the ground and groundwater. The novelty of the proposed approach is that it allows us to forecast the oil spill in a complex and systematic way. It consists of components for modelling geological environment (i.e., geological layers, oil spill form, the oil migration with groundwater), forecasting component for an oil spill and pollution mitigation component. Moreover, the forecasting component is based on experts’ knowledge on oil spill. In addition, the paper presents a general architecture for the implementation of the proposed knowledge-based approach and its implementation into a prototype named SoS-Ground.
Highlights
Oil occupies a leading position in the global fuel market, it is produced in 80 countries of the world, 40% of the oil produced goes to the market
The novelty of the proposed approach is that it allows us to forecast the oil spill in a complex and systematic way. It consists of components for modelling geological environment, forecasting component for an oil spill and pollution mitigation component
It consists of components for modelling geological environment, forecasting component for oil spill and pollution mitigation component
Summary
Oil occupies a leading position in the global fuel market, it is produced in 80 countries of the world, 40% of the oil produced goes to the market. A high technogenic load of the world oil complex causes risks associated with spills of oil and oil products In this regard, forecasting of the environmental consequences of such accidents becomes relevant. It consists of four main parts corresponding to layers of the geological environment as the following: the surface layer (Surface), the soil layer (Soil), the ground layer (Ground) and groundwater layer (Underground water).
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