Abstract

We study the Fitting ideals over the finite layers of the cyclotomic $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extension of $\mathbb{Q}$ of Selmer groups attached to the Rankin--Selberg convolution of two modular forms $f$ and $g$. Inspired by the Theta elements for modular forms defined by Mazur and Tate in ``Refined conjectures of the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer type'', we define new Theta elements for Rankin--Selberg convolutions of $f$ and $g$ using Loeffler--Zerbes' geometric $p$-adic $L$-functions attached to $f$ and $g$. Under certain technical hypotheses, we generalize a recent work of Kim--Kurihara on elliptic curves to prove a result very close to the \emph{weak main conjecture} of Mazur and Tate for Rankin--Selberg convolutions. Special emphasis is given to the case where $f$ corresponds to an elliptic curve $E$ and $g$ to a two dimensional odd irreducible Artin representation $\rho$ with splitting field $F$. As an application, we give an upper bound of the dimension of the $\rho$-isotypic component of the Mordell-Weil group of $E$ over the finite layers of the cyclotomic $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extension of $F$ in terms of the order of vanishing of our Theta elements.

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