Abstract

Rising atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide are causing surface seawater pH and carbonate ion concentrations to fall in a process known as ocean acidification. To assess the likely ecological effects of ocean acidification we compared intertidal and subtidal marine communities at increasing levels of pCO2 at recently discovered volcanic seeps off the Pacific coast of Japan (34° N). This study region is of particular interest for ocean acidification research as it has naturally low levels of surface seawater pCO2 (280–320 µatm) and is located at a transition zone between temperate and sub-tropical communities. We provide the first assessment of ocean acidification effects at a biogeographic boundary. Marine communities exposed to mean levels of pCO2 predicted by 2050 experienced periods of low aragonite saturation and high dissolved inorganic carbon. These two factors combined to cause marked community shifts and a major decline in biodiversity, including the loss of key habitat-forming species, with even more extreme community changes expected by 2100. Our results provide empirical evidence that near-future levels of pCO2 shift sub-tropical ecosystems from carbonate to fleshy algal dominated systems, accompanied by biodiversity loss and major simplification of the ecosystem.

Highlights

  • Rising atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide are causing surface seawater pH and carbonate ion concentrations to fall in a process known as ocean acidification[1]

  • Most marine organisms have a planktonic stage in their life history, so recruitment into high CO2 seep sites will occur from populations that are not genetically adapted to future ocean acidification conditions

  • Our comparisons of intertidal and subtidal rocky reef communities along natural gradients in CO2 have revealed that ocean acidification is a threat to many marine organisms, as it can drive fundamental shifts in coastal marine ecosystems towards simplified, low diversity communities

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Summary

Introduction

Rising atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide are causing surface seawater pH and carbonate ion concentrations to fall in a process known as ocean acidification[1]. Due to the influence of the northward flowing Kuroshio Current[20,21] our study region in Japan has naturally low levels of surface seawater pCO2 (280–320 μatm), which are near pre-industrial levels based on the global average (280 μatm; ref.[1]). This particular chemical setting could provide information on how the increase of CO2 since the pre-industrial period has already affected ecosystems in other parts of the world

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