Abstract
Given the inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental quality and economic development, there exists a turning point which implies a transition from the state of environmental deterioration to the state of environmental improvement. We provide an investigation on the association of the occurrence of the turning point of environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) with the process of (de)industrialization. Hazard-based duration model is employed to study whether and when the turning point occurs from different perspectives of the (de)industrialization process. The results show that the speed to reach the turning point for deindustrializing countries is 1.96 times faster than that for industrializers. With regard to different types of deindustrialization, the speed to reach the turning point for countries experiencing nonpremature deindustrialization and positive deindustrialization increase by 3.57 times and 2.60 times respectively compared to the industrializers. Moreover, technological progress is positively related with the speed to reach the turning point.
Published Version
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