Abstract

Robust prediction of extreme hawser tensions during Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) operations is an important safety and reliability concern. Excessive hawser tension may occur during certain environmental conditions, posing an operational risk. The novel deconvolution method is proposed in this paper to provide an accurate extreme value prediction. The predicted return level values produced by the new deconvolution approach are compared with those obtained by the Naess-Gaidai method. On the basis of the suggested approach's overall performance, it is concluded that the innovative deconvolution method may give a more robust and accurate forecast of excessive hawser stress. The stated method may be used effectively at the stage of vessel design while determining appropriate vessel characteristics to reduce possible FPSO hawser stress.

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