Abstract

Rural-urban migrants' migration patterns play a crucial role in the process of Chinese urbanization. Summarizing literatures and experience, this paper constructs a comprehensive classification standard which is constituted by five variables reflecting the migrant workers' actual migration behaviors. Then migrant workers' migration patterns are divided into two categories: temporary migration and permanent migration. On this basis, this paper gets the transformation's conditions from temporary migration to permanent migration using the two selection model firstly. The result shows that migrant workers' age and occupational types and living ways significantly impact their actual migration actions. Because the influencing factors of rural-urban migrants' migration willingness are researched in a lot of existing literature, the migration willing is included in this study. We construct the binary choice model in order to find the main factors affecting their willingness and actual actions simultaneously. The results show that their permanent migration probability both on their willingness and their actual actions is 29.12%; Age shows an inverted U-relationship with migration probability; The probability of permanent migration of the unmarried is significantly higher than the married. The rural-urban migrants who have high occupational types and own strong social relationships have more probability of permanent migration. To help them make their living conditions better may also improve the probability of permanent migration both on their willingness and actual actions. So, the cities' managers should take measures to promote migrant workers' occupational upward mobility, and help them improve their living conditions. These measures may improve the probability of migrant workers' permanent migration, thus speed up the urbanization process in China.

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