Abstract
BackgroundData on the prevalence of brain metastases at presentation in patients with non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are limited. We queried the National Cancer Data Base to determine prevalence, clinical risk factors, and outcomes of patients with NSCLC presenting with brain metastases. Patients and MethodsPatients with NSCLC diagnosed between 2010 and 2012 were identified using the National Cancer Data Base. The risk of brain metastases for individual variables was summarized by odds ratios and calculated using logistic regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method was used to calculate the median and 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival (OS). ResultsBrain metastases were observed in 47,546 (10.4%) of the 457,481 patients with NSCLC overall. The prevalence of brain metastases was much higher (26%) in patients with stage IV disease at presentation. On multivariate analysis, younger age, adenocarcinoma or large cell histology, tumor size > 3 cm, tumor grade ≥ II, and node-positive disease were associated with brain metastases. The prevalence of brain metastases ranged from as low as 0.57% in patients with only 1 risk factor to as high as 22% in patients with all 5 risk factors. The median and 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS for patients with brain metastases were 6 months and 29.9%, 14.3%, and 8.4%, respectively, with the 3-year OS increasing to 36.2% in those with T1/2 and N0/1 undergoing surgery for the primary site. ConclusionsIn patients with NSCLC, the risk of brain metastases at presentation may be calculated based on 5 clinical variables. Selected patients with brain metastases at presentation may achieve prolonged benefit.
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