NIMG-57. PERFORMANCE OF DEEP LEARNING IN MGMT PROMOTER METHYLATION STATUS PREDICTION USING BRAIN MRI: RESULTS FROM A LARGE COHORT OF IDH-WILDTYPE GLIOMAS TESTED BY A SINGLE METHYLATION ASSAY

Abstract

Abstract There have been several attempts to predict the MGMT promoter methylation status of gliomas using deep learning (DL), with mixed results. These studies did not account for IDH mutation status and did not utilize a uniform methylation assay, introducing potential confounders in the experimental design. We assessed the performance of DL applied to brain MRI to predict the MGMT promoter methylation status of IDH-wildtype gliomas tested with a standardized assay. We included 539 IDH-wildtype gliomas tested with real-time methylation-specific PCR from 2017-2022; 205 (38%) were MGMT promoter methylated. The assay targets 8 downstream MGMT CpG sites using ACTB as control; methylation status is determined based on the difference of PCR crossing-point values: methylated if difference < 5, unmethylated if difference > 7, indeterminate otherwise. We used post-contrast T1 and T2 MRIs as inputs for our models trained using stratified 5-fold cross-validation, 400 epochs, batch size of 16, a learning rate scheduler starting at 10-3, weighted binary cross-entropy loss, and AdamW optimizer. We repeated the experiments using two 3D DL architectures (DenseNet121 and EfficientNetB0) and two image preprocessing pipelines: the BraTS protocol and one that uses padding instead of registration to an MRI atlas, keeping constant other experimental variables. For Densenet121, the best cross-validation AUROCC and F1-score (median, median absolute deviation) were 0.67 (0.06), 0.59 (0.02) using the BraTS protocol, and 0.67 (0.06), 0.58 (0.01) using padding. For EfficientNetB0, were 0.67 (0.02), 0.66 (0.01) using the BraTS protocol and 0.67 (0.01), 0.68 (0.01) using padding. Our findings suggest that it is unlikely that DL models trained on brain MRI can predict the MGMT promoter methylation of IDH-wildtype gliomas. Importantly, our study is the first to focus on an IDH-wildtype adult diffuse glioma cohort tested with a single, standardized MGMT methylation assay, eliminating the variability introduced by different assays and IDH status.