New Doctrine of Food Security in Russia: Forecast for its Implementation in the Fisheries

Abstract

An analysis of the implementation of the Doctrine of Food Security of the Russian Federation until 2020 in the field of fisheries is carried out. It was found that the actual consumption of fish in whole form from Russian sources on average for the period under review amounted to about 60% of the threshold value of 17.6 kg. The economic availability of fish products on average in Russia decreased by 14.4%. It was revealed that at the same time, the population began to buy more cheap breeds of fish in their unfinished form. Thus, the quality of fish consumption has also decreased. It was established that the main reasons for the decrease in fish consumption and its economic accessibility to the population were a decrease in the ruble exchange rate against the US dollar, an increase in fish exports and a reduction in its supply to the domestic market. Currently, fishery has 2 conflicting tasks: firstly, to ensure the consumption of fish by the population in the amount of 18.7 kg at the expense of Russian sources and, therefore, to limit the export of fish. Secondly, to increase export revenue by 1.5 times by 2024 (from 5.174 billion US dollars to 8 billion US dollars).Fishing organizations are interested in increasing fish exports and it is unlikely that Rosrybolovstvo will limit it. At the same time, reserves for increasing the value of exports due to the deepening of fish cutting are insignificant. It follows that the new Doctrine, as well as the previous one, will not be fulfilled.