Abstract
multi-scenarios analysis, Potential analysis. Abstract. The “Electric power alternatives” scheme proposed by China State Grid Corp in 2013, aiming at replacing coal and petroleum by electricity in terminal energy consumption. Based on Gray wavelet neural network model, a multi-scenarios analysis method is designed to predict the terminal energy consumption trend and analyze the potential of Electric power alternatives in the medium to long term. The combined forecasting model predicts terminal energy consumption effectively. Finally, the paper quantizes the potential of substitution and analyzes the terminal electric energy consumption in the medium to long term under different scenarios.
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