Multi-scale selection models predict breeding habitat for two Arctic-breeding raptor species

Abstract

Raptors are important environmental indicators because they are apex predators and can be sensitive to disturbance. Few studies have addressed habitat preferences of tundra-nesting raptors, and those that exist have focused on fine-scale characteristics. With increasing economic development predicted to occur throughout the Canadian Arctic, the investigation of raptor breeding habitat at broad spatial scales is required. We modeled breeding habitat selection for two raptor species on north Baffin Island, NU, Canada. During aerial surveys conducted over six breeding seasons, we documented 172 peregrine falcon (Falco peregrinus tundrius) and 160 rough-legged hawk (Buteo lagopus) nesting sites. We used these locations in conjunction with remote sensing data to build habitat selection models at three spatial scales. Topography, distance to water, and normalized difference vegetation index explained selection at all scales; slope aspect was also important at the finest scale. To validate landscape scale models, we conducted a validation survey that resulted in the detection of 45 new nests (peregrine falcon n = 21, rough-legged hawk n = 24). We did not detect any new nests in areas where model-predicted occurrence was expected to be low. Conversely, we found more than half of previously undetected nests in areas where model-predicted occurrence was expected to be high.