Multi-parameter correlation analysis and multi-step prediction of seawater quality based on graph spatio-temporal analysis network

Abstract

Abstract In recent years, with the increasing pollution of near-shore waters, the water quality pollution incidents have been aggravated, which seriously threatens many aspects of coastal economic development, ecological environment and living health. Therefore, there is an urgent need for an effective method to predict the water quality of near-shore waters. However, due to seasonal changes, ocean currents, biological activities and other factors, the marine environment has strong complexity and uncertainty, which leads to the monitoring data of seawater quality parameters are unstable, non-linear and other characteristics. At the same time, there are interactions between different parameters, so it is not easy to dig deeper into the information in the data, and the accuracy of the existing prediction methods for multi-parameter multi-step prediction of seawater quality is generally low. To solve the above problems, a new graph neural network model is proposed in this paper. The model can effectively extract the local time correlation, global time correlation and spatial correlation in non-Euclidean space of seawater quality parameter data from multiple dimensions. Finally, this paper evaluates the model performance using the seawater parameter data from the near-shore waters of Beibu Gulf, and compared with the five baseline models, the model proposed in this paper shows the best performance in all the defined evaluation indexes.