Multimodal imaging measures in the prediction of clinical response to deep brain stimulation for refractory depression: A machine learning approach

Abstract

Objectives This study compared machine learning models using unimodal imaging measures and combined multi-modal imaging measures for deep brain stimulation (DBS) outcome prediction in treatment resistant depression (TRD). Methods Regional brain glucose metabolism (CMRGlu), cerebral blood flow (CBF), and grey matter volume (GMV) were measured at baseline using 18F-fluorodeoxy glucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET), arterial spin labelling (ASL) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and T1-weighted MRI, respectively, in 19 patients with TRD receiving subcallosal cingulate (SCC)-DBS. Responders (n = 9) were defined by a 50% reduction in HAMD-17 at 6 months from the baseline. Using an atlas-based approach, values of each measure were determined for pre-selected brain regions. OneR feature selection algorithm and the naïve Bayes model was used for classification. Leave-out-one cross validation was used for classifier evaluation. Results The performance accuracy of the CMRGlu classification model (84%) was greater than CBF (74%) or GMV (74%) models. The classification model using the three image modalities together led to a similar accuracy (84%0 compared to the CMRGlu classification model. Conclusions CMRGlu imaging measures may be useful for the development of multivariate prediction models for SCC-DBS studies for TRD. The future of multivariate methods for multimodal imaging may rest on the selection of complementing features and the developing better models.Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (#NCT 01983904)