Multi-Tier Land Use and Land Cover Mapping Framework and Its Application in Urbanization Analysis in Three African Countries

Abstract

Listen

Translate article

The population of Africa is expected to rise to 2.5 billion by 2050, with more than 80% of this increase concentrated in cities. Africa’s anticipated population growth has serious implications for urban resource utilization and management, necessitating multi-level monitoring efforts that can inform planning and decision-making. Commonly, broad extent (e.g., country level) urban change analyses only examine a homogenous “developed” or “built-up” area, which may not capture patterns influenced by the heterogeneity of landscape features within urban areas. Contrarily, studies examining landscape heterogeneity at a finer resolution are typically limited in spatial extent (e.g., single city level). The goal of this study was to develop and test a hierarchical integrated mapping framework using globally available Earth Observation data (e.g., Landsat, Sentinel-2, Sentinel-1, and nightlight imagery) and accessible methodologies to produce national-level land use (LU) and urban-level land cover (LC) map products which may support a range of global and local monitoring and planning initiatives. We test our multi-tier methodology across three rapidly urbanizing African countries for the 2016–2020 period: Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa. The initial output of our methodology includes annual national land use maps (Tier 1) for the purpose of delineating the dynamic boundaries of individual urban areas and monitoring national LU change. To complement Tier 1 LU maps, we detailed urban heterogeneity through LC classifications within urban areas (Tier 2) delineated using Tier 1 LU maps. Based on country-optimized sets of selected features that leverage spatial/texture and temporal dimensions of available data, we obtained an overall map accuracy of between 65 and 80% for Tier 1 maps and between 60 and 80% for Tier 2 maps, dependent on the evaluation country, although with consistent performance across study years providing a solid foundation for monitoring changes. We demonstrate the potential applications for our products through various analyses, including urbanization-driven LU change, and examine LC urban patterns across the three African study countries. While our findings allude to general differences in urban patterns across national scales, further analyses are needed to better understand the complex drivers behind urban LC configurations and their change patterns across different countries, city sizes, and rates of urbanization. Our multi-tier mapping framework is a viable strategy for producing harmonious, multi-level LULC products in developing countries using publicly available data and methodologies, which can serve as a basis for a wide range of informative and insightful monitoring analyses.