Abstract

Abstract The objective of the present work is to determine an optimal cropping pattern under uncertainty, which maximizes four objectives simultaneously, including net benefits (NBF), crop production (CPD), employment generation (EGN) and manure utilization (MUT). Except the objective of maximizing the NBF, the other objectives are related to sustainability. To deal with uncertainty, a multi-objective fuzzy linear programming (MOFLP) model has developed along with fuzziness in decision parameters (objective function coefficient, cost coefficients, technological coefficients and resources) and decision variables (area to be irrigated under each crop in each season) and applied the same to Jayakwadi Project Stage-I, Maharashtra, India. The present study is in the form of a successful attempt to deal with irrigation planning associated with sustainability and uncertainty.

Highlights

  • The randomness of hydrologic variables such as stream flow, rainfall and evapotranspiration, and imprecision in management goals/objectives, constraints, crop response, decision makers’ interest, which are the most common things closely associated with uncertainty

  • The objective of the present study is to develop the multi-objective fuzzy linear programming (MOFLP) model and its application to the Jayakwadi Project Stage-I and to find out the optimal cropping pattern for 75% dependable yield for sustainable irrigation planning under the fuzzy environment

  • The present study explores the development of the MOFLP model with a triangular fuzzy number (TFN) of linear membership functions and its applicability for sustainable irrigation planning to the Jayakwadi Project Stage-I, India

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Summary

Introduction

The randomness of hydrologic variables such as stream flow, rainfall and evapotranspiration, and imprecision in management goals/objectives, constraints, crop response, decision makers’ interest, which are the most common things closely associated with uncertainty. The vagueness and uncertainties associated with various kinds of objectives, decision parameters and decision variables can be well described and addressed by a fuzzy set. The concept of decision-making under a fuzzy environment was presented by Bellman & Zadeh (1970). Gupta et al (2000) have proposed a multi-objective fuzzy linear programming (MOFLP) area allocation model to analyze the conflicting interests of various decision makers such as the irrigation authority (government) and the individual farmers involved in a particular project and applied the developed model to the case study of the Narmada river basin, India. Jimenez et al (2007) have presented an interactive method to solve linear programming with fuzzy numbers, which informs the decision maker in various stages of the decision process. The fuzzy parametric programming based MOFLP model has been proposed with the illustration of numerical example (Arikan & Gungor 2007)

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