Multi-hazard risk assessment analysis in La Palma: an approach for risk mitigation

Abstract

BackgroundLa Palma, like many regions of the world, may be affected by various hazards, with different levels of susceptibility, which have a greater or lesser impact on society. In this context, a multi-risk approached model capable of estimating the total risk faced by the territory is required, considering the different hazards to which it is exposed (floods, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and landslides) and the different conditions of vulnerability of both the population and the exposed assets.MethodsThe methodology employed in this study has been referred to as "multilayer single hazard", which consists of the aggregation or superposition of hazards located in the same space. As usual, the identification of the individual hazard of each one of them was carried out using heterogeneous methods, which is why an index is proposed to homogenize the hazards and make them comparable with each other. On the other hand, the model also integrates a prototype to evaluate vulnerability from a multiple perspective (vulnerability by hazard) and shows the aggregated information in maps at a medium representation scale (definition of 250 m).ResultsThe risk integration results show that 5% of the island is at high risk levels. Simultaneously, the south of the island is presented as the area that shows the highest risk by combining a high hazard, especially related to volcanic hazards, and a high exposure, as it is home to a significant volume of population.ConclusionsThe proposed methodology is also interesting because it can be replicated in other areas of study.