Abstract

To diagnose multiple faults (blockage and leakage) of a district heating system (MFDHS) in a timely and accurate manner, a new multi-fault diagnosis method is proposed that considers fault diagnosis as a classification problem based on principal component analysis (PCA) and a Back Propagation (BP) neural network. Using this method, a simulation model of heating-network faults is constructed and fault experiments are conducted. Based on the simulation model and experiments, the experimental (ED) and model (MD) datasets are effectively constructed followed by the construction of substitute datasets(SD) that replaces the experimental data with model data. PCA and data standardization are then adopted to process all the datasets. Finally, three BP neural network classification models are trained and tested using the three datasets. To demonstrate the effectiveness of this method, four experimental heating networks, namely a single heat source and branch (SHB), single heat source and single loop (SHSL), double heat source and branch (DHB), and double heat source and double loop (DHDL), are discussed as case studies. The results show that the relative errors of the experimental and simulation data for the pressures and flow rates are less than 5%. The highest prediction accuracy is obtained when the fault to the normal data are 95–5% under training sets to testing sets of 70–30%, while for the four heating networks, the prediction accuracy of the method built with ED is 99.93%, 99.99%, 99.84%, and 99.66% respectively, whereas it reaches 99.99% for MD. The accuracies are 99.99%, 98.13%, 97.4%, and 99.99%, respectively, with MD serving as the training set while another 11400 sets of experimental data serve as the testing set. Accordingly, the accuracy ranges from 95.56% to 88.03%, 97.85–93.29%, 95.65–85.71%, and 100–84.82%, with SD serving as the training set and another 11400 sets of experimental data serving as the testing set.

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