Abstract

A method for the multi-axial load spectrum extrapolation based on extreme value theory has been proposed herein, for the first time to the best of our knowledge. The relationship between the internal damage of the structure with the external multi-axial load spectrum is first established prior to extrapolation. The multi-axial load spectrum is then equivalently synthesized into a uni-axial load spectrum based on the interaction between the external forces and the internal stress state of the structure. The basic theory of the time-domain multi-axial load spectrum extrapolation method is developed, including (1) the multi-axial load spectrum extrapolation model establishment; (2) the optimal threshold determination based on grey relational analysis (GRA); (3) the fitting of the distribution function parameters based on the Bayesian parameter estimation method; and (4) the judgment of phase relationship between each channel of the multi-axial load spectrum. The rationality of the method proposed in this paper is verified through an application example. In the example, the multi-axial load spectrum measurement of a special vehicle is introduced, and the proposed multi-axial extrapolation method is applied. Finally, the validation of the multi-axial load spectrum extrapolation method – in terms of the characterized comparison and the durability simulation – is performed.

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