Abstract

Condition-based and predictive maintenance enable early detection of critical system conditions and thereby enable decision makers to forestall faults and mitigate them. However, decision makers also need to take the operational and production needs into consideration for optimal decision-making when scheduling maintenance activities. Particularly in network systems, such as power grids, decisions on the maintenance of single assets can affect the entire network and are, therefore, more complex.This paper proposes a bi-level multi-agent decision support system for the generation maintenance decision (GMS) of power grids in an electricity market in the context of predictive maintenance. The GMS plays an important role in increasing the reliability at the network level. The aim of the GMS is to minimize the generation cost while maximizing the system reliability. The proposed framework integrates a central coordination system, i.e. the transmission system operator (TSO), and distributed agents representing power generation units that act to maximize their profit and decide about the optimal maintenance time slots while ensuring the energy balance. In the proposed bi-level approach, n upper levels and one lower level (i.e. sub-problems) are solved by the independent agents and by the TSO, respectively. We derive the optimal strategy of the agents that are subject to predictive maintenance via a distributed algorithm, through which agents make optimal maintenance decisions and communicate them to the central coordinator, i.e. the TSO. The TSO decides whether to accept the agents’ decisions by considering market reliability aspects and power supply constraints. To solve this coordination problem, we propose a negotiation algorithm using an incentive signal to coordinate the agents’ and the central system’s decisions, such that all the agents’ decisions can be accepted by the central system. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm with reference to the IEEE 39 bus system.

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