Abstract

Hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) has brought severe challenges to the existing defense system due to its characteristics of high maneuverability, high speed and high precision. Simultaneously, these characteristics also bring great difficulties to trajectory prediction. In this paper, a method for HGV motion state recognition and trajectory prediction based on deep learning is proposed. The proposed method consists of two modules, namely the motion state recognition module and the trajectory prediction module. The motion state recognition module can identify the HGV’s motion state according to state information, and divide it into eight categories. The softmax function is added to the state recognition module to calculate the probability of each motion state. The trajectory prediction module comprises a nonlinear prediction part and a linear prediction part. According to the result of motion state recognition, the appropriate prediction scheme is adopted to better extract the linear and nonlinear characteristics of HGV trajectory, which improves the robustness and prediction accuracy of the proposed method. The experimental results of HGV trajectory prediction show that the proposed method can maintain good stability when the HGV maneuver state changes, and has higher accuracy than the four benchmark methods.

Highlights

  • IntroductionCompared with a conventional ballistic missile, Hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) has stronger maneuverability and can strike any target in the world within two hours [2]

  • Hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) is an aircraft with a speed above Mach 5 and flying in near space [1]

  • In order to objectively evaluate the prediction performance of the model, two indicators are used to measure the error of trajectory prediction, namely root mean square error (RMSE) and mean square error (MAE)

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Summary

Introduction

Compared with a conventional ballistic missile, HGV has stronger maneuverability and can strike any target in the world within two hours [2]. It has changed the traditional combat style and has significant military application value, which has attracted the great attention of various countries [3,4]. At this time, the high speed and high maneuverability of HGV bring difficulties to its trajectory prediction.

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Results
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