Abstract

During the last decade Poland’s road fatalities went down by 44%. The trend differs from region to region. Effective road safety management in regions requires tools for forecasting road safety measures and identifying factors influencing road fatality numbers. Mathematical models can provide such tools. They take into account local characteristics such as: demography, economy, infrastructure and motorization. Such models could be used for better regional road safety management. This paper presents an attempt to build such models used for forecasting road fatalities in EU regions and Polish voivodships.

Highlights

  • Road accidents worldwide claim nearly 1.3 m lives annually causing an economic loss that represents 2 - 3% of the world’s GDP

  • Being involved in a road accident may become one of the five most frequent causes of death of the globe’s population. This is what spurs a variety of government organisations and NGOs into action geared towards reducing road accidents

  • The fundamental intention behind this idea is to save 5 million people from death in a road accident in the years 2011 – 2020. This is to be achieved by efforts delivered by the particular countries, including the development and implementation of road safety programmes, appointing road safety management bodies, effective accident data collection and increasing spending on road infrastructure to ensure that all road projects comply with safety requirements when they are designed, built and maintained [1]

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Summary

Introduction

Road accidents worldwide claim nearly 1.3 m lives annually causing an economic loss that represents 2 - 3% of the world’s GDP. The United Nations with its World Health Organisation (WHO) have prepared recommendations for the countries, designed to improve road safety. They are part of the Decade of Action for Road Safety adopted in 2011 (for the years 2011 – 2020). The fundamental intention behind this idea is to save 5 million people from death in a road accident in the years 2011 – 2020 This is to be achieved by efforts delivered by the particular countries, including the development and implementation of road safety programmes, appointing road safety management bodies, effective accident data collection and increasing spending on road infrastructure to ensure that all road projects comply with safety requirements when they are designed, built and maintained [1]

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