Modelling coagulant dosage in drinking water treatment plant using advance machine learning model: Hybrid extreme learning machine optimized by Bat algorithm.

Abstract

Despite the high importance of coagulation process in drinking water treatment plant (DWTP), challenge remains in effectively linking raw water quality measured at the inlet of the DWTP with coagulant dosage rate. This study proposes an integral modelling framework using hybrid extreme learning machine and Bat metaheuristic algorithm (ELM-Bat) for modelling coagulant dosage rate using water temperature, pH, specific conductance, dissolved oxygen, and water turbidity. The aluminum sulphate (Al2 (SO4)3.18H2O) coagulant is determined using conventional Jar-Test procedure. Results obtained using the hybrid ELM-Bat were compared to those obtained using standalone ELM, outlier robust extreme learning machine (ORELM), online sequential extreme learning machine (OSELM), optimally pruned extreme learning machine (OPELM), and kernel extreme learning machine (KELM). First, the models have been calibrated during the training stage and in a second stage; they are validated using various statistical metrics, i.e., RMSE, MAE, the correlation coefficient (R), and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE). We found that the hybrid ELM-Bat was significantly more accurate and it has yielded accuracy higher than all other models. During the validation stage, the R and NSE values calculated using the ELM-Bat were ≈0.959 and ≈0.918 exhibiting an improvement rates of approximately (≈15.26% and ≈33.82%), (≈10.35% and ≈21.92%), (≈14.98% and ≈31.89%), (≈7.63% and ≈16.35%), (≈10.99% and ≈23.05%), compared to the values obtained using the ELM, OPELM, OSELM, KELM and ORELM, respectively. Besides, the new ELM-Bat model has shown to have high predictive capabilities, which can be used optimally for calculating the optimal coagulant dosage with high accuracy.