Modeling of Scientific and Technological Development of Agriculture in the Region

Abstract

The concept of the formation and functioning of the model of forecasting of scientific and technological development of agriculture is presented, which allows to solve a number of scientific and applied problems of forecasting of innovative development of agricultural production, of evaluating the effectiveness of existing and emerging at the market innovative products and technologies, as well as establishing already at the development level, the parameters of such products, acceptable for specific conditions of usage, to control the implementation of the “Federal Scientific and Technical Program of the development of agriculture in the years 2017-2025 “as well as similar regional programs. The model is based on the information of the consolidated annual financial statements of agricultural producers, which characterizes production processes in plant growing, animal husbandry and the processing of agricultural raw materials. It consists of calculating and analytical blocks, reproduction, evaluation, control and forecast modules.. The model can become an important component of the emerging digital economy of the agro-industrial complex, because it relies on a big multidimensional array of information, exposing it to analysis in full format by comparing data from the financial statements tables for different years, from different subjects of all types (groups) of crops, animals, products.In the process of forecasting, the selection of the most acceptable innovations is carried out, the parameters and purpose indicators of the Programs of the development of agriculture and other branches of the agro-industrial complex are used; the optimization of existing self resources of organizations and budget funds of all levels in order to obtain the maximum financial result from the appliance of the most preferable innovations is carried out.