Modeling of HF propagation at high latitudes on the basis of IRI

Abstract

The paper presents the results of comparison between the modeling calculations and ionograms of oblique sounding for high-latitude HF radio paths of Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI), which was fulfilled for February 13–14, 2014 (quiet conditions). The International Reference Ionosphere 2012 model of the ionosphere (IRI-2012) was used for the study. The comparison results prove that without adaptation to current diagnostics the IRI model does not reflect the real state of high latitude ionosphere even for quiet conditions. It was found that in general the observed maximum usable frequency values (MUF) exceeded the same values obtained from the model. The adaptation of the model to current diagnostics makes the simulated MUF values significantly closer to the observed MUF. The following parameters were used for the study: critical frequencies foF2 measured by ionosondes located near the considered paths, frequencies calculated on the basis of observed TEC values and median values of the equivalent slab thickness of the ionosphere.The relative error of calculation of MUF values averaged for all the cases for one hop was 23.6% by the initial IRI model. This error was decreased by 4% for the calculations on the basis of observed ТЕС and by 6% for the adaptation to foF2. The higher the latitude of the studied radio path, the more the difference between the observed and simulated MUF values. The conclusion was made that a principal cause of this difference was the deviation of calculated maximum ionospheric height values (hmF2) from the observed hmF2. The additional model update using hmF2 values obtained from Tromso station let to better match between the calculated MUF values and the observed MUF values for all radio paths. The analysis of experimental data showed that the non-predicted events (like traveling ionospheric disturbances, M- and N-modes, lateral modes, triplets, unusual scatter effects, etc.) sometimes took place at high latitude paths even during the quiet conditions.