Abstract
A mathematical model has been developed to simulate the movement of patients from their residences to hospitals in the State of Indiana. The basic idea is that the behavior of patients in selecting a hospital can be treated as a random walk process. The attractiveness of the individual hospitals is reflected by their “strength function” in which various pertinent factors such as beds, population, occupancy rate, the facilities, and services are incorporated. Predictions of hospital service areas and patient flow made for the State of Indiana agreed reasonably well with the data of two statewide hospital discharge study surveys.
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