Abstract

A statistical analysis of accidents on road transport in the Russian Federation involving trucks was carried out. We have studied the legal acts regulating road safety in General and the implementation of cargo transport in particular. The object of the study is the state of road safety. The possibility of using regression for modeling and analyzing the relationship between the number of cargo vehicles and the length of roads is considered. These indicators are taken into account for 85 regions of the Russian Federation. The result of the joint influence of independent variables on the number of road accidents is obtained. A multiple regression equation is given to explain the model parameters. The constructed model is useful, and the selected two variables “length of highways, km”, “number of cargo vehicles, units” allow predicting the level of accidents on road transport.

Highlights

  • In the Russian Federation, about 80% of the total volume of cargo transported by all modes of transport is carried out by road

  • Most of the goods cannot be transported to the consumer without the participation of road transport

  • The growth of production volumes, changes in the specifics of products, the need and development of the economy reflect the demand for road freight transport

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Summary

Introduction

In the Russian Federation, about 80% of the total volume of cargo transported by all modes of transport (rail, air, sea) is carried out by road. Most of the goods cannot be transported to the consumer without the participation of road transport. The growth of production volumes, changes in the specifics of products, the need and development of the economy reflect the demand for road freight transport. The main industries that use road freight transport are related to retail. Road freight transport is economically feasible for use in short-and medium-distance transportation [27]. About 7% of accidents occur due to violations of traffic rules by truck drivers. The severity of accidents involving trucks is the highest of all the committed accidents and is 10.1 deaths per 100 accidents. Reducing accident rates is a priority task of the state

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