Statistical correlation between accounted road accidents, road traffic administrative offenses and criminal offenses against traffic safety and transport in Ukraine

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the correlation between reported traffic accidents, road traffic administrative offenses and criminal offenses against road safety and transport operation in Ukraine for 2015-2020. The author found that road traffic administrative offenses should include Art. 121, 121-2, 122, 123, 124, 125, 126, 127, 128, 128-1, 129, 130, 133-1, 139 and 140 of the Code of Ukraine on Administrative Offenses, and on criminal offenses against road safety and operation of transport - Art. 280, 286, 286-1, 287 and 291 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine. It is proved, that the statistical ratio between road traffic administrative offenses and criminal offenses against road safety and transport operation increased significantly annually from 2015 to 2020 (from 71:1 to 344:1). The average ratio of administrative offenses and criminal offenses in Ukraine for six years (2015-2020) was 209:1, and for four years (2017-2020) - 274:1. The obtained data on Ukraine are interesting from the point of view of their inconsistency with the general tendencies of the ratio of administrative offenses and criminal offenses. After all, the increase in the number of detected administrative offenses should indicate an improvement in the work of the patrol police in the field of road safety and, in turn, lead to a corresponding reduction in the level of criminal offenses in this area. On the other hand, there was no statistically significant decrease in the number of criminal offenses in Ukraine. In addition, only in 2019 Ukraine reached the optimal scientifically proven average of 300: 1. The average ratio between the number of administrative offenses in the field of traffic and the number of accidents on average over four years (2017-2020) was 1540: 100. Statistics show that despite the increase in the ratio of administrative offenses and road accidents with each passing year, there has been no decrease in the number of road accidents. In addition, on average over four years (2017-2020) there were 95 administrative offenses per one accident with victims, 716 administrative offenses per one person killed in such accidents, and 76 administrative offenses per one injured person. The average ratio for four years (2017-2020) between road accidents and road accidents with victims is 6.19: 1. In other words, every 6-7 accidents were with victims. A positive trend is the increase in this ratio in recent years