Abstract

Aircraft carrier flight decks present high-risk mission-critical environments that need to be both efficient and safe. The concept of optimal manning, having just enough people to do the job safely and efficiently, is paramount in order to put the least amount of people at risk while not sacrificing mission effectiveness. To this end, an agent-based model, the optimal manning simulation (OMS) was developed, which specifically looks at the launch process of the flight deck in order to quantify the risk and efficiency of people working on the flight deck. OMS models different classes of crew members on the flight deck, aircraft, and resources like catapults. OMS measures safety through collisions or near-collisions of people and aircraft, as well as how long it takes to execute a launch cycle, the primary efficiency metric. Validation and sensitivity analyses provide confidence in OMS results. To demonstrate its utility, OMS is also used to predict how the future introduction of unmanned aerial vehicles could impact staffing and performance measures.

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