Model Selection and Design of Storm Water Drainage Systems at Oleh, Delta State, Nigeria

Abstract

Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves and equations present the exceedance probability of a given rainfall intensity and storm duration expected to occur at a particular location, for the design of storm water drainage systems and hydraulic structures. The aim of this study was to develop IDF curves/equations aim for Oleh, a municipality situated in the low-lying and flood prone region of Nigeria. The study was conducted using annual maxima rainfall series (ARMS) of 28 years obtained from Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet). The AMRS were extracted into 15 Nos. storm durations between 10minutes and 600 minutes. The AMRS of each duration was fitted to Gumbel (EV1), LN2 and Normal (N) distributions using the K-S and A-D goodness-of-fit module of Easyfit software, Version 5.6. The graphical plots, development of IDF models and computations of performance measures of R2 NSE and RSR, were executed in Microsoft Excel, 2010. The results of GOF tests show that for K-S tests, Gumbel (EVI) is best-fit distribution in four durations, LN2 was best –fit in Nine out of fifteen durations, and Normal distribution durations scored 2. Similarly, for A-D GOF test, Gumbel (EVI) scored three (3), LN2 scored eleven (11), while Normal distribution scored one (1). Consequently, LN2 is the best-fit distribution, seconded by Gumbel (EVI). Accordingly, LN2 and Gumbel (EVI) distributions have been adopted in the development of the IDF models for Oleh municipality, while the performances of the IDF models may be presented the inequality; 0.984 ? R2 ? 0.998; 0.990 ? NSE ? 0.998 and 0.045 ? RSR ? 0.096. The graphical plots, IDF curves and models exhibited the peculiar attributes of IDF curves/equations reported in literature. The performance measures show that the equations are robust for practical application in the design of storm water drainage systems and hydraulic structures.