Abstract
Forest resource exploitation and the achievement of full forest potential depend on the density and quality of the forest road network. The forest road network has to fulfill multiple functions; it thus has strategic importance in forest management. When planning the forest road network development, decision makers have to consider various technological, economic, social, and environmental factors. A comprehensive and functional approach is needed. A hybrid methodological framework for the formulation of guidelines, within which the strategy for the development of the state-owned forest road network should be defined, is presented in this paper. A fuzzy modification of the A'WOT method is proposed. The model, named FDA'WOT model, is based on an idea to provide a conceptual framework for strategic option selection by combining the fuzzy Delphi technique, the fuzzy SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) and the Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP). The FDA'WOT model overcomes the problems of a classical SWOT analysis related to the vagueness and uncertainties in assessment of the character, impact and relative importance of strategic factors. It is a frame for a multicriteria approach in decision making which allows analytical prioritization of alternative strategic options and selection of an optimal one. The proposed model is applied to a case study of the strategy selection for the forest road network development in the Republic of Serbia. The presented results have shown that the FDA'WOT model can successfully create conditions for sustainable strategy formulation. .
Highlights
In the last few decades, the focus in forest management has been shifted from a dominant interest in timber harvesting to the so-called nonextractive uses, such as: recreational uses, wildlife improvement, development of forests, environmental protection, etc
The SWOT analysis is a common tool for solving the strategy selection problem, but the traditional SWOT analysis has some shortcomings such as subjectivity, the quantification of factors influences due to their uncertain nature, or the evaluation of strategic alternatives
In this paper, we propose a hybrid FDA’WOT model as an analytical approach to strategy formulation
Summary
In the last few decades, the focus in forest management has been shifted from a dominant interest in timber harvesting to the so-called nonextractive uses, such as: recreational uses (hunting, fishing, hiking, camping), wildlife improvement, development of forests, environmental protection, etc. The development of the forest road network greatly impacts the achievement of the economic and ecological goals in forest management. The SWOT analysis is a common tool for solving the strategy selection problem, but the traditional SWOT analysis has some shortcomings such as subjectivity, the quantification of factors influences due to their uncertain nature, or the evaluation of strategic alternatives. To overcome these problems, in this paper, we propose a hybrid FDA’WOT model as an analytical approach to strategy formulation. The FDA’WOT model combines the fuzzy Delphi technique, the fuzzy SWOT analysis and the traditional AHP method
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