Abstract

This paper describes the application of a large-scale active learning method to characterize the parameter space of a computational agent-based model developed to investigate the impact of CommunityRx, a clinical information-based health intervention that provides patients with personalized information about local community resources to meet basic and self-care needs. The diffusion of information about community resources and their use is modeled via networked interactions and their subsequent effect on agents' use of community resources across an urban population. A random forest model is iteratively fitted to model evaluations to characterize the model parameter space with respect to observed empirical data. We demonstrate the feasibility of using high-performance computing and active learning model exploration techniques to characterize large parameter spaces; by partitioning the parameter space into potentially viable and non-viable regions, we rule out regions of space where simulation output is implausible to observed empirical data. We argue that such methods are necessary to enable model exploration in complex computational models that incorporate increasingly available micro-level behavior data. We provide public access to the model and high-performance computing experimentation code.

Highlights

  • This paper describes the characterization of parameter space of the CRx agent-based model (ABM) through an implementation of an Active Learning (AL) (Settles ) model exploration (ME) algorithm at high-performance computing (HPC) scales using the EMEWS framework (Ozik et al ), as a step towards model validation

  • We first evaluate the relative importance of model parameters, describe the evolution of the AL algorithm across iterations, present the parameter space characterization results of the CRx ABM and report on the meta-model performance

  • This is partly due to the computational expense of running large models and partly due to the size of the model parameter spaces that need to be explored to obtain a robust understanding of the possible model behaviors

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Summary

Introduction

. CommunityRx (CRx), developed with the support of a Health Care Innovation Award from the U.S Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI), is an information-based health intervention designed to improve population health by systematically connecting people to a broad range of community-based resources for health-maintenance, wellness, disease management and care-giving (Lindau et al , ). . The CRx intervention is centered around the “HealtheRx” (or HRx), a -page printed list of community resources personalized to a patient’s characteristics, location, and diagnoses (Lindau et al ). Community resources prescribed in the HRx include resources to address basic needs (e.g., food and housing), physical and mental wellness (e.g., fitness, counseling), disease management (e.g., smoking cessation, weight loss), and care-giving (e.g., respite care for a person with dementia.) The goal of the information intervention via the HRx is to e ect JASSS, ( ) , http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/ / / .html

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