Millennial-scale coseismic landslide history inferred from topographic and stratigraphic features of a post-caldera cone of Aso Volcano in southwestern Japan

Abstract

The 2016 Mw 7.0 Kumamoto earthquake triggered numerous landslides of fallout tephra deposits around Aso Volcano in southwestern Japan. Although rainfall-induced landslides have been repeatedly observed on the tephra-mantled slopes of this region, the spatial patterns and frequency of coseismic landslides remain unclear because of the scarce landslide evidence associated with palaeoseismicity. To examine the distribution of landslides induced by the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake and possibly by prior large earthquakes, we conducted geomorphological analyses using airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data, together with geological investigations of tephra deposits in the Takanoobane lava dome (TLD), a post-caldera cone of Aso Volcano. Repeated LiDAR surveys performed before and after the earthquake allowed us to quantify the volume and geometry of five coseismic landslides (K1–K5), as well as three component blocks of the K1 landslide (K1a–c). The surveys also allowed identification of 12 older landslides (O1–O12) fully covered by vegetation. Source areas of recent coseismic landslides ranged from 1050 to 14,920 m2; those of older landslides were estimated to be 1110–15,730 m2. The H/L ratios of the K1 landslide and its component blocks K1a–c ranged from 0.139 to 0.165, despite their volumes ranging from 104 to 105 m3. The K1 landslide occurred on the southwest-facing slope, where older landslides were not recognised before the earthquake. Its slip surface was formed at the base of the 30 ka pumice layer. The largest one of the older landslides (O1) is located on the south-facing slope, adjacent to the K1 landslide. Stratigraphic investigations revealed that most of the tephra sequence, including the 30 ka pumice layer, has already been eroded at the centre of the O1 landslide. Radiocarbon dating further constrained the landslide age to ca. 7.0 ka. Because its topographic and stratigraphic features are similar to the features of the K1 landslide, the O1 landslide may have been triggered by a palaeoearthquake approximately 7000 years ago, which was previously unknown around the Aso caldera region.