Abstract

This article presents the application of a scenario approach to microleuel planning via impact analysis of various control parameters. The advantage of scenario analysis for microlevel planning is discussed, and scenarios are developed and discussed for analyzing the impact of (1) replacing field crops by plantation crops, (2) introducing energy plantations, (3) introducing fuel-efficient stoves, (4) increasing fertilizer prices, (5) increasing fertilizer application, (6) increasing population growth, (7) drought conditions, and (8) decreasing availability offuelwood.

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