Methodology for calculating the net present value of investment project, taking into account the variability of determining the cash flow of capital investments

Abstract

Subject. The article considers the variability of determining the cash flow of capital investments and methodology for calculating the net present value (NPV) of an investment project, taking into account the said variability. Objectives. The aim is to propose a methodology to calculate NPV, given the influence of variability in determining the cash flow from investing activities in terms of outflows, i.e. the required volume of investments to create new fixed assets. Methods. The study employs generally accepted scientific methods of information analysis and synthesis. Results. I analyzed modern domestic and foreign approaches and methods for calculating NPV of an investment project, formulated the concept of cash flow of capital investments, offered my own methodology for its variable determination. The methodology for NPV calculation covers three scenarios of investment project implementation: baseline, optimistic and pessimistic. The paper includes the impact analysis of variability of the determination of cash flow of capital investments on NPV of investment project. Conclusions. The paper defines the nature of the influence of variability in determining the cash flow of capital investments on the NPV of an investment project. The findings can be used to calculate and plan targeted indicators of investment performance (NPV), when evaluating and implementing investment projects, regardless of sources of financing.