MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration on the evaluation of the decompensated liver cirrhosis prognosis

Abstract

Objective To evaluate the prognosis of the decompensated liver cirrhosis by means of MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration.Methods Data of 156 hospitalized patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into survival and death group according to follow-ups at 6 months,12 months and 24 months.MELD-Na score was made among 156 patients by detecting relevant indicators.Serum cholesterol and cholesterol levels were measured,too.The relationship between decompensated liver cirrhosis prognosis and MELD-Na score combined with serum cholesterol and endotoxin concentration was analyzed.Results Ninteen patients died at the follow-up for 6 months.Fifty nine patients died at the followe-up for 12 months.Seventy seven patients died at the follow-up for 24 months.There was significant difference on MELD-Na score,endotoxin concentration and serum cholesterol between the survival group and the death group (t =-9.68,-9.22,11.4,-4.65,-19.60,16.20,-20.0,-18.7,17.3,respectively,P ＜0.05).The best critical value of MELD-Na score to predicate death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was 32 points.The risk of death would rise if MELD-Na score increased.The best critical value of plasma endotoxin to predicate death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was ≥ 12 ng/L.The best threshold value of serum cholesterol to predict death in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis was ≤ 1.70 mmol/L.Conclusion MELD-Na score,serum cholesterol and serum endotoxin were of higher prognostic value to judge the prognosis of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. Key words: Liver cirrhosis; Cholesterol; Endotoxin; MELD-Na