Abstract

Preimplantation biopsy combines measurements of injury into a composite index to inform organ acceptance. The uncertainty in these measurements remains poorly characterized, raising concerns variability may contribute to inappropriate clinical decisions. We adopted a metrological approach to evaluate biopsy score reliability. Variability was assessed by performing repeat biopsies (n = 293) on discarded allografts (n = 16) using 3 methods (core, punch, and wedge). Uncertainty was quantified using a bootstrapping analysis. Observer effects were controlled by semi-blinded scoring, and the findings were validated by comparison with standard glass evaluation. The surgical method strongly determined the size (core biopsy area 9.04 mm2, wedge 37.9 mm2) and, therefore, yield (glomerular yield r = 0.94, arterial r = 0.62) of each biopsy. Core biopsies yielded inadequate slides most frequently. Repeat biopsy of the same kidney led to marked variation in biopsy scores. In 10 of 16 cases, scores were contradictory, crossing at least 1 decision boundary (ie, to transplant or to discard). Bootstrapping demonstrated significant uncertainty associated with single-slide assessment; however, scores were similar for paired kidneys from the same donor. Our investigation highlights the risks of relying on single-slide assessment to quantify organ injury. Biopsy evaluation is subject to uncertainty, meaning each slide is better conceptualized as providing an estimate of the kidney's condition rather than a definitive result. Pooling multiple assessments could improve the reliability of biopsy analysis, enhancing confidence. Where histological quantification is necessary, clinicians should seek to develop new protocols using more tissue and consider automated methods to assist pathologists in delivering analysis within clinical time frames.

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