Abstract

This paper concerns the parameter estimation problem for the quadratic potential energy in interacting particle systems from continuous-time and single-trajectory data. Even though such dynamical systems are high-dimensional, we show that the vanilla maximum likelihood estimator (without regularization) is able to estimate the interaction potential parameter with optimal rate of convergence simultaneously in mean-field limit and in long-time dynamics. This to some extend avoids the curse-of-dimensionality for estimating large dynamical systems under symmetry of the particle interaction.

Highlights

  • This paper concerns the parameter estimation problem for the quadratic potential energy in interacting particle systems from continuous-time and single-trajectory data. Even though such dynamical systems are high-dimensional, we show that the vanilla maximum likelihood estimator is able to estimate the interaction potential parameter with optimal rate of convergence simultaneously in mean-field limit and in long-time dynamics

  • This to some extend avoids the curse-ofdimensionality for estimating large dynamical systems under symmetry of the particle interaction

  • Dynamical systems of interacting particles have a wide range of applications on modeling collective behaviors in physics [5], biology [14, 19], social science [15], and more recently in machine learning as useful tools to understand the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) dynamics on neural networks [13]

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Summary

Introduction

Dynamical systems of interacting particles have a wide range of applications on modeling collective behaviors in physics [5], biology [14, 19], social science [15], and more recently in machine learning as useful tools to understand the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) dynamics on neural networks [13]. Due to the large number of particles, such dynamical systems are high-dimensional even for single-trajectory data from each particle, and statistical learning problems for lower-dimensional interaction functionals from data are usually challenging [1, 10, 11]. We propose a likelihood based inference to estimate the parameters of the interaction function induced by a potential energy in an N interacting particle system based on their observed (continuous-time) trajectories, and establish its statistical guarantees

Interacting N -particle systems
Stochastic Vlasov equation: decoupled mean-field limit
Existing literature
Notation
Maximum likelihood estimation
Rate of convergence
Concentration inequalities for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
Decoupling error bounds for N -particle systems
Full Text
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