Market reactions for targets of M&A rumours—evidence from China

Abstract

This paper investigates investors’ reactions to takeover rumours in China’s stock markets from 2004 to 2014. While we find pre-rumour price run-ups (abnormal returns) for merger and acquisition (M&A) targets, the pre-rumour market overreaction is significantly positive only for target firms that are state-owned enterprises (SOEs). There are no significant abnormal returns for M&A rumour targets over a 41-day event window (−20, +20). Nonetheless, capital market reactions to true rumours are higher than reactions to false rumours, indicating that investors can typically distinguish between them. Finally, we document that while firms with higher institutional ownership have a higher probability of being the subject of false M&A rumours, rumoured targets with higher institutional ownership experience lower market reactions.