Abstract
The Arctic Seas are attractive for shipping, fisheries, and other marine activities due to the abundant resources of the Arctic. The shrinking ice cover allows for the opening of activities in increasingly larger areas of the Arctic. This paper evaluates the possibility of executing all-year complex marine activities, here termed “marine operations”, in the Norwegian Sea and the ice-free part of the Barents Sea. The approach used during the preparation of this review paper is to identify constraints to marine operations so users can be aware of the limitations of performing such operations. The weather conditions in the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea are well known, and these seas are considered representative of ice-free or partly ice-free Arctic Seas with considerable marine activities. Similar conditions could be expected for other Arctic Seas during periods without ice cover. Marine operations require safe and stable working conditions for several days. The characteristics of marine operations are discussed, and the particulars of the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea physical environments are highlighted. Emphasis is on the wind and wave conditions in unpredictable polar low-pressure situations. Furthermore, situations with fog are discussed. The large uncertainties in forecasting the initiation and the tracks of polar lows represent the main concern for executing marine operations all year. Improvements in forecasting the occurrence and the path of polar lows would extend the weather window when marine operations could be carried out. Discussions of the potential for similar conditions in the wider Arctic Seas during ice-free periods are presented.
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