Abstract

This article focuses on supervised learning and reinforcement learning. These areas overlap most with econometrics, predictive modelling, and optimal control in finance. We choose to focus on how to cast machine learning into various financial modelling and decision frameworks. This work introduces the industry context for machine learning in finance, discussing the critical events that have shaped the finance industry’s need for machine learning and the unique barriers to adoption. The finance industry has adopted machine learning to varying degrees of sophistication. Some key examples demonstrate the nature of machine learning and how it is used in practice. In particular, we begin to address many finance practitioner’s concerns that neural networks are a “black-box” by showing how they are related to existing well-established techniques such as linear regression, logistic regression, and autoregressive time series models. Neural networks can be shown to reduce to other well-known statistical techniques and are adaptable to time series data.

Highlights

  • The development of modern information technologies entails an unprecedented growth in the volume of computing resources and large data sets

  • A key challenge to understanding machine learning is the lack of well-established theories and concepts that are necessary for financial time series analysis

  • Investment firms hire natural language processing (NLP) machine learning experts to work with financial news, unstructured documents, SEC 10K reports, etc

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Summary

Introduction

The development of modern information technologies entails an unprecedented growth in the volume of computing resources and large data sets. Machine learning methods available through open-source toolkits are gaining popularity among analysts and developers. Machine learning combines several mathematical disciplines: financial econometrics, statistical computing, probabilistic and dynamic programming, and even pattern recognition. A key challenge to understanding machine learning is the lack of well-established theories and concepts that are necessary for financial time series analysis. The increasing amount of machine-readable activity data in the financial system, combined with the constant increase in computing power and storage capacity, has important implications for every aspect of financial modelling. Due to the financial crisis of 2008, the supervisory authorities of many countries began to regulate, based on data analysis, and implement stress testing programs [1]

Modern datasets
Asset pricing modelling
Machine learning techniques in finance
Findings
Conclusions
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