Abstract
The purpose of this study is to examine the sensitivity of the orbital debris environment to fragmentation model parameters. Seven modeling parameters are varied to examine their impact on the future debris environment. Simulations for the future debris state up to the year 2081 are compared with evolution runs using 'standard' breakup models. Fragments from satellite-satellite collisions are shown to dominate the future evolution of the debris environment. Several parameters significantly affect the future environment evolution. This shows that further work to improve fragmentation model is warranted. By improving all aspects of debris modeling it could be shown that our models for the environment are accurate and justify taking measures to reduce our polluting of the orbital environment.
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