Long term risk of heart failure in adult cancer survivors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Abstract Background Evaluation of the cardiotoxic effects from cancer is most commonly evaluated at the time of chemotherapy. Although cancer survivorship populations are rapidly expanding, there is a paucity of evidence regarding the frequency and causes of heart failure (HF) >5 years after cardiotoxic therapy. Objectives This systematic review sought to investigate the relationship between cardiotoxic cancer therapies and late-onset HF. Methods We searched the EMBASE and MEDLINE databases for studies reporting HF in adult survivors (≥50 years old), who were ≥5 years post-breast/lymphoma cancer therapy. A random effects model was used to examine the associations of HF. A meta-regression analysis was implemented to determine causes of heterogeneity. Results Thirteen papers were included in the review and meta-analysis (Figure 1), comprising 190,259 participants (mean age 53.5 years, 93% female). The risk of HF was increased (overall log risk-ratio 0.39 (95%CI (0.16-0.62)), (Figure 2). Cardiotoxic treatment, compared with cancer alone, provided a similar risk (log risk ratio of 0.38 [95% CI 0.02-0.77]). In the breast cancer population ratio (11 studies) the overall heart failure log risk was 0.41 [95% CI 0.13-0.69]). Although heterogeneity was significant (I²=77.17), this was explained by differences in patient characteristics; once multivariable analysis accounted for follow up (0.99, 95%CI (0.97-0.99), p=0.047), age (1.14, 95%CI (1.04-1.25), p=0.003) and hypertension (0.95, 95%CI (0.92-0.98), p<0.001), residual heterogeneity was low (I²=28.73). Conclusions HF is increased in adult cancer survivors, associated with cardiotoxic cancer therapy and standard risk factors. Consideration should be given for selective screening for HF in this at-risk population.Fig 1:Literature Search Flow DiagramFig 2:Incident HF in Cancer Survivors