Local Goverment Debt Risk Early Warning Algortithm Based on Fuzzy Analysis

Abstract

Local government's debt is now highly concerned by all levels of governments, it relates to the safety of China's economy, the research discusses the early warning of the local government's debt risk, It not only has theoretical significance but also has much more practical value. Based on the index selection of local government's debt risk and determination of risk range, We build early warning model of the local government's debt risk using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and apply the data of Jiangsu province to inspect the effectiveness of the early warning model, the research results show that the overall level of local government's debt risk is controllable in Jiangsu province.