Abstract
Power load forecasting is an essential step in the network development planning process, it being the base for the prediction of potential network saturation criticalities. The goal of this study is to present a new methodology, developed by Enel Global Infrastructure and Networks, in order to identify future saturation criticalities on high-voltage (HV)/medium-voltage (MV) substations, in a worldwide scenario. Over the past few years, the Enel Group has modified its organisational structure, defining global divisions, in order to improve its cost-effectiveness in all countries where the company operates. This new global scenario needs a unified methodology that works in the same way in all Enel's distribution companies and aims to detect future saturating criticalities on HV/MV substations in standard configurations (N condition – all elements available) and in a modified one due to the unavailability of one element (N−1 condition). The output of this methodology (detection of future criticalities) represents one of the most important inputs in the global CapEx allocation process.
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