Level and trend of respiratory diseases mortality in China from 2002 to 2016

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the level and trend of respiratory disease mortality in China from 2002 to 2016. Methods: The standardized mortality rates were calculated based on the China health statistics yearbook (2003-2012) and China statistical yearbook of health and family planning (2013-2017) data released by the statistical information center of National health Commission of the People's Republic of China. Joinpoint model was used to calculate the standardized mortality rates (SMR), Annual percentage change (APC) and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) for standardized mortality rates. Results: The SMR of respiratory diseases and chronic lower respiratory diseases were decreased significantly in 2002 to 2016 (AAPC=-3.6%, AAPC=-6.4%, P<0.001, respectively). The SMR of lung cancer showed a significant increase trend (AAPC=1.6%, P=0.001). There were no significant differences in the SMR of pneumonia and pneumonoconiosis (APCC=1.0%, P=0.242; APCC=-0.2%, P=0.905). Both urban and rural SMR of respiratory diseases were declining significantly (AAPC=-2.9%, P=0.001; AAPC=-4.2%, P<0.001). Both urban and rural SMR of lung cancer showed an increasing trend (AAPC=0.6%, P=0.022; AAPC=2.1%, P=0.003, respectively). The SMR of pneumonia in urban areas showed an upward trend (AAPC=2.7%, P=0.017). The SMR of respiratory disease of all age groups (<35 years old, 35-65 years old and ≥65 years old) showed a downward trend (AAPC=-3.8%, P=0.001; AAPC=-2.6%, P<0.001; AAPC=-3.9%, P<0.001). The SMR of pneumonia between 35 and 65 years old and SMR of lung cancer over 65 years old showed an increasing trend (AAPC=2.8%, P=0.001; AAPC=2.4%, P<0.001). The SMR of respiratory diseases among males and females showed a downtrend (AAPC=-3.1%, P<0.001; AAPC=-4.3%, P<0.001). However, the SMR of lung cancer in males and females increased significantly (AAPC=1.2%, P<0.001; AAPC=2.5%, P<0.001, respectively). There were no significant trends in the SMR of pneumonia and pneumoconiosis in males (AAPC=1.5%, P=0.096; AAPC=-1.6%, P=0.218). There was no obvious trend in the SMR of pneumonia in females (AAPC=-0.1%, P=0.872). Conclusions: The SMR of respiratory diseases in China generally shows a downward trend. The overall SMR and SMR of major respiratory diseases varies among different regions, genders and age groups.