Level and trend of cardiovascular disease mortality in China from 2002 to 2016

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the level and trend of cardiovascular disease mortality in China from 2002 to 2016. Methods: Using data of China Health Statistics Yearbook (2003-2012) and China's Health and Family Planning Statistical Yearbook (2013-2017),we calculated the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) in China. Joinpoint regression model was employed to estimate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of cardiovascular disease ASMR. Results: (1)The ASMR of cardiovascular disease were 225.65/100 thousands, 242.74/100 thousands, 214.63/100 thousands, 240.97/100 thousands, 195.24/100 thousands, 201.50/100 thousands, 208.83/100 thousands, 248.44/100 thousands, 261.38/100 thousands, 231.98/100 thousands, 210.25/100 thousands, 237.80/100 thousands, 235.21/100 thousands, 237.58/100 thousands,and 237.25/100 thousands from 2002 to 2016, and there was no significant difference in ASMR of cardiovascular disease (AAPC=0.2%, P>0.05) . The ASMR of chronic rheumatic heart disease decreased significantly (AAPC=-4.5%,P<0.05). There were no significant differences in ASMR of cerebrovascular disease, hypertensive heart disease, and ischemic heart disease (AAPC=0, P>0.05; AAPC=2.0%, P>0.05; AAPC=4.3%, P>0.05, respectively). (2) There were no significant differences in ASMR of cardiovascular disease from 2002 to 2016 in city and country (AAPC=-0.7%, P>0.05; AAPC=0.8%, P>0.05, respectively). The ASMR of chronic rheumatic heart disease decreased significantly in city and rural area (AAPC=-4.4%, P<0.05; AAPC=-4.6%, P<0.05, respectively). (3) There were no significant differences in ASMR of cardiovascular disease from 2002 to 2016 in male and female (AAPC=-0.3%,P>0.05; AAPC=-0.2%,P>0.05,respectively). The ASMR of chronic rheumatic heart disease decreased significantly in female (AAPC=-4.2%, P<0.05). The ASMR of ischemic heart disease increased significantly in male and female (AAPC=4.7%,P<0.05; AAPC=5.2%,P<0.05,respectively). (4) The ASMR of cardiovascular disease showed a significant upward trend in residents aged 15 to 34 from 2002 to 2016 (AAPC=3.1, P<0.05). There were no significant differences in ASMR of cardiovascular disease in residents aged 35 to 64 and ≥65 (AAPC=-0.1%, P>0.05; AAPC=-0.2%, P>0.05, respectively). Conclusion: The ASMR of cardiovascular disease in China remains stable during 2002 to 2016, and the ASMR of cardiovascular disease shows upward trend among young people.