Abstract

The Institute of Child Health/Southampton study is the largest cross-sectional survey of lead exposure and children's intelligence. 402 six year olds in London with tooth lead concentration in three pre-defined ranges were selected for neuropsychological testing. This paper presents new findings on the relationship between child IQ and tooth lead levels which build on previous findings in four respects: Rather than simply classifying children into high, medium and low lead groups the actual concentrations of lead in each child's tooth have been used to provide a more powerful assessment of the association between IQ and body lead burden. The influence of parental and social factors on child IQ is explored in detail in order to see if any residual lead-IQ association exists after allowance for such confounders. The methods of multiple regression, including an 'optimal' statistical policy, are more fully described. The possibility of interactions between lead and confounders is explored. Findings are that parental IQ is the most important influence on child IQ, though several other factors (eg: family size, social class and quality of marital relationships) were also significantly related. There was no overall evidence that tooth lead concentrations were related to child IQ once these other factors were taken into account. However, a significant interaction between tooth lead and sex of child indicates that the lead-IQ association appears much more pronounced in boys. This unexpected finding needs cautious interpretation and further exploration in other studies.

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