Abstract

Offshore wind power attracts intensive attention for decarbonizing power supply in Japan, because Japan has 1600 GW of offshore wind potential in contrast with 300 GW of onshore wind. Offshore wind availability in Japan, however, is significantly constrained by seacoast geography where very deep ocean is close to its coastal line, and eventually, nearly 80% of offshore wind resource is found in an ocean depth deeper than 50 m. Therefore, power system planning should consider both the location of available offshore wind resource and the constraint of power grid integration. This paper analyzes the impact of power grid integration of renewable resources including offshore wind power by considering the detailed location of offshore wind resource and the detailed topology of power grid. The study is performed by an optimal power generation mix model, highlighted by detailed spatial resolution derived from 383 nodes and 472 bulk power transmission lines with hourly temporal resolution through a year. The model identifies the optimal integration of power generation from variable renewables, including offshore wind, given those predetermined capacities. The results imply that, together with extensive solar PV integration, total 33 GW of offshore wind, composed of 20 GW of fixed foundation offshore wind and 13 GW of floating offshore wind could contribute to achieve 50% of renewable penetration in the power supply of Japan, and that scale of offshore wind integration provides a technically feasible picture of large-scale renewable integration in the Japanese power sector.

Highlights

  • Offshore wind power attracts intensive attention for decarbonizing power supply in Japan, because Japan has 1600 GW of offshore wind potential in contrast with 300 GW of onshore wind

  • This paper develops an optimal power generation mix model which takes into consideration a detailed topology of the Japanese power grid and analyzes the power grid integration of renewable resources in 2030 including fixed foundation and floating offshore wind powers on the basis of official assessment for offshore wind resources (MOE 2015)

  • The following equation confirms required reserve capacity in a power system preparing for the risks of power supply shutdown: Charging and discharging behaviors of pumped-hydro and rechargeable battery are described in the following equations:

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Summary

Sustainability Science

Exogenous variables bfb Unit fixed cost of b-th power transmission line (yen per kW). K0i, KS10j, KS20j Existing capacity (GW) Kupper,b Upper limit of capacity of branch b (GW) Kupper,i,y, KS1upper,j, KS2upper,j Capacity upper-limit (GW) lifetimej Lifetime year of j-th type of electricity storage loadn,d,t Electric load in node n, day d, and time t (GWh/h) lossb Power transmission loss rate in branch b mstorage,j Storage capacity per generation capacity of j-th type of power storage (GWh/GW) mflow1b, mflow2b Capacity upper-limit of branch b at each direction (GWh/h) moli Minimum output level ratio of operation of i-th type of power plant Na A group of electricity demand nodes in service area a pfi Unit fixed cost of i-th type of power plants($/kW). For connecting large-scale offshore wind, Japan has technical challenges in the power grid to address geographical disparity between the place where electricity is generated and the place where electricity is consumed, for example, by reinforcing power transmission lines. To assess the integration of offshore wind power into a power grid, elaborate consideration is required for a topology of power grid as well as a location of

Distance from Coastline
Offshore wind power potential
Hokkaido Tohoku Tokyo Hokuriku Chubu Kansai Chugoku Shikoku Kyushu Okinawa Total
Objective function
Available capacity constraints of power supply technologies
Available capacity of power generation plants
Charge and discharge balances of energy storage
Load following capability of power plants
Minimum output threshold of thermal power plant
Renewable energy scenarios for offshore wind
Optimal mix of power generation and capacity
Base RE
Regional Exchange
Findings
Economical feasibility of power grid expansion
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