Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Model Construction Using Typical Machine Learning for the Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China

Abstract

The Three Gorges Reservoir region in China is the Yangtze River Economic Zone’s natural treasure trove. Its natural environment has an important role in development. The unique and fragile ecosystem in the Yangtze River’s Three Gorges Reservoir region is prone to natural disasters, including soil erosion, landslides, debris flows, landslides, and earthquakes. Therefore, to better alleviate these threats, an accurate and comprehensive assessment of the susceptibility of this area is required. In this study, based on the collection of relevant data and existing research results, we applied machine learning models, including logistic regression (LR), the random forest model (RF), and the support vector machine (SVM) model, to analyze landslide susceptibility in the Yangtze River’s Three Gorges Reservoir region to analyze landslide events in the whole study region. The models identified five categories (i.e., topographic, geological, ecological, meteorological, and human engineering activities), with nine independent variables, influencing landslide susceptibility. The accuracy of landslide susceptibility derived from different models and raster cells was then verified by the accuracy, recall, F1-score, ROC curve, and AUC of each model. The results illustrate that the accuracy of different machine learning algorithms is ranked as SVM > RF > LR. The LR model has the lowest generalization ability. The SVM model performs well in all regions of the study area, with an AUC value of 0.9708 for the entire Three Gorges Reservoir area, indicating that the SVM model possesses a strong spatial generalization ability as well as the highest robustness and can be adapted as a real-time model for assessing regional landslide susceptibility.