Landslide risk assessment in mining areas using hybrid machine learning methods under fuzzy environment

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Landslide risk assessment in coal mining economic cities faces challenges due to inadequate knowledge of indicator systems and modeling techniques, despite its crucial significance in geological disaster management. This study addresses this gap by proposing a novel framework encompassing data preparation, susceptibility analysis, consequence analysis, and final risk assessment. The primary objective is to reduce the complexity and inherent uncertainties associated with landslide risk assessment in these specific urban environments. First, two comprehensive databases for the indication system were established. One database focuses on landslide susceptibility, considering the region’s mining disturbances and disaster-prone environments. The other evaluates the effect of consequences while accounting for the pertinent risk variables. Second, a hybrid machine learning model called Geo-FR-SVM was developed by combining the GeoDetector, Frequency Ratio method, and Support Vector Machine model to improve landslide susceptibility mapping. Integrating the susceptibility map with the consequence map created using fuzzy set theory and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process methodologies resulted in the final landslide risk map. Our analysis revealed that elevation, distance to rivers and roads, groundwater level, and coal mining subsidence were the key factors influencing landslide occurrence in the Xishan mine area. The majority of the study area exhibits low landslide risk. However, higher consequence zones were primarily concentrated in highly populated residential regions and coal mine industrial zones in the east-central and western urban areas. Additionally, they are mainly distributed along the roads in the center region. With comparatively large percentages of landslide high-risk and extremely high-risk regions (4.596%, 3.855%, 3.625%, and 3.188%, respectively) at Tunlan Mine, Xiqu Mine, Zhenchengdi Mine, and Baijiazhuang Mine, these findings highlight the need for these mines to prioritize potential landslide identification and risk mitigation strategies. This framework offers broad applicability to other coal mining economic cities, serving as a valuable foundation for landslide risk management decision-making.